Project: SEND Forecasting to Support Safety Valve Programme
Client: Devon County Council
Devon commissioned Mime to produce a forecast of their EHCP cohort over time in order to inform their Safety Valve Programme planning. This included producing a tool that would allow them to understand an ‘unmitigated’ scenario, as well as a ‘planned’ scenario, which took into account the impact of the interventions they were developing.
The modelling tool we built allowed them to adjust underlying assumptions about EHCP assessment request and refusal rates, and easily copy the resulting projected numbers of EHCPs by age, provision type, and primary need into the DfE Safety Valve template.